Foresight Games: Conceituação, Elementos Estruturantes e Framework de Design para Jogos Prospectivos
Resumo
Introdução: Nas últimas duas décadas, dezenas de artefatos lúdicos foram desenvolvidos para promover o letramento em futuros, mas o campo opera sem definição formal, sem critérios de design compartilhados e sem vocabulário comum. Objetivo: Este artigo propõe o Modelo ELF (Elementos do Ludoletramento em Futuros), um framework normativo que conceitualiza, classifica e orienta o design de Foresight Games como subgênero emergente dos jogos de aprendizagem. Metodologia: Com base nos estudos de futuros, na teoria de game design e na Design Science Research, o modelo articula uma condição prévia de autoria e quatro elementos estruturantes verificáveis no artefato, além de um elemento recomendado. Resultados: O framework é aplicado a três jogos existentes de formatos distintos, ilustrando sua operacionalidade classificatória e analítica. Conclusão: O Modelo ELF oferece a designers e pesquisadores critérios acionáveis para o projeto e a avaliação de Jogos Prospectivos, endereçando uma lacuna identificada na literatura.
Palavras-chave:
jogos prospectivos, letramento em futuros, game design, jogos de aprendizagem, Design Science Research
Referências
ALMEIDA, Paulo Nunes de. Educação Lúdica: Teorias e Práticas. Volume 1 - Reflexões e Fundamentos. São Paulo: Edições Loyola, 2013.
ANDRIEVSKIKH, Natalia. Student Created Tabletop Foresight Games as Advocacy. Prompt: A Journal of Academic Writing Assignments, v. 8, n. 1, 2024.
ANSOFF, Igor H. Managing strategic surprise by response to weak signals. California Management Review, v. 18, n. 2, p. 21-33, 1975.
BISHOP, Peter C.; HINES, Andy. Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight. 2. ed. Houston: Social Technologies, 2015.
BLEECKER, J. Design Fiction: A Short Essay on Design, Science, Fact and Fiction. Los Angeles: Near Future Laboratory, 2009.
BOGOST, Ian. Persuasive Games: The Expressive Power of Videogames. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2007.
BONTOUX, Laurent et al. A Game for All Seasons: Lessons and Learnings from the JRC's Scenario Exploration System. Luxembourg: European Commission Joint Research Centre, 2016.
CANDY, S.; DUNAGAN, J. Designing an experiential scenario: The People Who Vanished. Futures, v. 86, p. 136-153, 2017.
CANDY, Stuart; WATSON, Jeff. The thing from the future. In: The APF Methods Anthology. London: Association of Professional Futurists, 2015.
CHRISTOPHILOPOULOS, Epaminondas et al. Testing the 'Thing from The Future Minecraft Education Edition' with secondary education students. Journal of Futures Studies, 2022.
COSTIKYAN, Greg. Uncertainty in Games. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2013.
CURRY, A.; HODGSON, A. Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 13, n. 1, 2008.
DAHEIM, Cornelia. Experiential foresight. In: SCAPOLO, F. et al. (ed.). How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025? Luxembourg: European Commission, 2015.
DANNENBERG, Sascha; FISCHER, Nele. Gaming scenarios: making sense of diverging developments. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 15-26, 2017.
DUFVA, Mikko et al. Learning futures: creating foresight capacity through games. In: Proceedings of the ISPIM Innovation Summit. Brisbane: ISPIM, 2015.
GEE, James Paul. What video games have to teach us about learning and literacy. Computers in Entertainment, v. 1, n. 1, p. 20-20, 2003.
GIDLEY, Jennifer M. The Future: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2017.
GLENN, Jerome C. Futurics and the Futures Wheel. The Futurist, 1972.
HILTUNEN, Elina. The future sign and its three dimensions. Futures, v. 40, n. 3, p. 247-260, 2008.
HUIZINGA, Johan. Homo Ludens: o jogo como elemento da cultura. São Paulo: Perspectiva, 2000. Publicação original: 1938.
HUNICKE, Robin; LEBLANC, Marc; ZUBEK, Robert. MDA: A Formal Approach to Game Design and Game Research. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Workshop on Challenges in Game AI. 2004. p. 1-5.
INAYATULLAH, Sohail. Six pillars: futures thinking for transforming. Foresight, v. 10, n. 1, p. 4-21, 2008.
INAYATULLAH, Sohail. Gaming, ways of knowing, and futures. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 101-106, 2017.
KARLSEN, Jan Erik. Futures literacy in the loop. European Journal of Futures Research, v. 9, n. 1, 2021.
LEACOCK, M. Pandemic. [S.l.]: Z-Man Games, 2008.
LEITE, Patricia da Silva; MENDONÇA, Vinícius Godoy de. Diretrizes para game design de jogos educacionais. In: SBGames, 12., 2013. Anais [...]. Porto Alegre: SBC, 2013. p. 132-141.
MARCH, Salvatore T.; SMITH, Gerald F. Design and natural science research on information technology. Decision Support Systems, v. 15, n. 4, p. 251-266, 1995.
MEIER, S. Sid Meier's Civilization. [S.l.]: MicroProse, 1991.
MILLER, Riel (ed.). Transforming the Future: Anticipation in the 21st Century. London: Routledge/UNESCO, 2018.
PANIAGUA, K.; CORNEJO, P. Designing Joint Answers for Broken Cities. About Tenkuä, the Participatory Foresight and Planning Experience. Journal of Futures Studies, 28(4), pp.31-50.
ROSA, Angelo et al. (ed.). Navigating the Great Transition. 2024.
SALEN, Katie; ZIMMERMAN, Eric. Rules of Play: Game Design Fundamentals. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2004.
SARITAS, Ozcan; SMITH, Jack. The Big Picture: trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures, v. 43, n. 3, p. 292-312, 2011.
SCHELL, Jesse. The Art of Game Design: A Book of Lenses. Boca Raton: CRC Press, 2008.
SOARES, Magda. Letramento: um tema em três gêneros. 2. ed. Belo Horizonte: Autêntica, 2003.
STREET, Brian V. Literacy in Theory and Practice. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1984.
Bontoux, L., Bengtsson, D., Rosa, A., & Sweeney, J. A. The JRC scenario exploration system-from study to serious game. Journal of Futures Studies, 20(3), 93-108, 2016.
SWEENEY, John A. Game on: foresight at play with the United Nations. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 27-40, 2017.
UNESCO. Futures literacy laboratory playbook: an essentials guide for designing and running a Futures Literacy Laboratory. Paris: UNESCO, 2023. Disponível em: [link]. Acesso em 30 de Junho, 2026.
VERVOORT, Joost et al. Unlocking the potential of gaming for anticipatory governance. Earth System Governance, v. 11, 100130, 2021.
WALK, Wolfgang; GÖRLICH, Daniel; BARRETT, Mark. Design, dynamics, experience (DDE): an advancement of the MDA framework for game design. In: BLATZ, M. et al. (ed.). Game Dynamics. Cham: Springer, 2017. p. 27-45.
ANDRIEVSKIKH, Natalia. Student Created Tabletop Foresight Games as Advocacy. Prompt: A Journal of Academic Writing Assignments, v. 8, n. 1, 2024.
ANSOFF, Igor H. Managing strategic surprise by response to weak signals. California Management Review, v. 18, n. 2, p. 21-33, 1975.
BISHOP, Peter C.; HINES, Andy. Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight. 2. ed. Houston: Social Technologies, 2015.
BLEECKER, J. Design Fiction: A Short Essay on Design, Science, Fact and Fiction. Los Angeles: Near Future Laboratory, 2009.
BOGOST, Ian. Persuasive Games: The Expressive Power of Videogames. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2007.
BONTOUX, Laurent et al. A Game for All Seasons: Lessons and Learnings from the JRC's Scenario Exploration System. Luxembourg: European Commission Joint Research Centre, 2016.
CANDY, S.; DUNAGAN, J. Designing an experiential scenario: The People Who Vanished. Futures, v. 86, p. 136-153, 2017.
CANDY, Stuart; WATSON, Jeff. The thing from the future. In: The APF Methods Anthology. London: Association of Professional Futurists, 2015.
CHRISTOPHILOPOULOS, Epaminondas et al. Testing the 'Thing from The Future Minecraft Education Edition' with secondary education students. Journal of Futures Studies, 2022.
COSTIKYAN, Greg. Uncertainty in Games. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2013.
CURRY, A.; HODGSON, A. Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 13, n. 1, 2008.
DAHEIM, Cornelia. Experiential foresight. In: SCAPOLO, F. et al. (ed.). How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025? Luxembourg: European Commission, 2015.
DANNENBERG, Sascha; FISCHER, Nele. Gaming scenarios: making sense of diverging developments. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 15-26, 2017.
DUFVA, Mikko et al. Learning futures: creating foresight capacity through games. In: Proceedings of the ISPIM Innovation Summit. Brisbane: ISPIM, 2015.
GEE, James Paul. What video games have to teach us about learning and literacy. Computers in Entertainment, v. 1, n. 1, p. 20-20, 2003.
GIDLEY, Jennifer M. The Future: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2017.
GLENN, Jerome C. Futurics and the Futures Wheel. The Futurist, 1972.
HILTUNEN, Elina. The future sign and its three dimensions. Futures, v. 40, n. 3, p. 247-260, 2008.
HUIZINGA, Johan. Homo Ludens: o jogo como elemento da cultura. São Paulo: Perspectiva, 2000. Publicação original: 1938.
HUNICKE, Robin; LEBLANC, Marc; ZUBEK, Robert. MDA: A Formal Approach to Game Design and Game Research. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Workshop on Challenges in Game AI. 2004. p. 1-5.
INAYATULLAH, Sohail. Six pillars: futures thinking for transforming. Foresight, v. 10, n. 1, p. 4-21, 2008.
INAYATULLAH, Sohail. Gaming, ways of knowing, and futures. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 101-106, 2017.
KARLSEN, Jan Erik. Futures literacy in the loop. European Journal of Futures Research, v. 9, n. 1, 2021.
LEACOCK, M. Pandemic. [S.l.]: Z-Man Games, 2008.
LEITE, Patricia da Silva; MENDONÇA, Vinícius Godoy de. Diretrizes para game design de jogos educacionais. In: SBGames, 12., 2013. Anais [...]. Porto Alegre: SBC, 2013. p. 132-141.
MARCH, Salvatore T.; SMITH, Gerald F. Design and natural science research on information technology. Decision Support Systems, v. 15, n. 4, p. 251-266, 1995.
MEIER, S. Sid Meier's Civilization. [S.l.]: MicroProse, 1991.
MILLER, Riel (ed.). Transforming the Future: Anticipation in the 21st Century. London: Routledge/UNESCO, 2018.
PANIAGUA, K.; CORNEJO, P. Designing Joint Answers for Broken Cities. About Tenkuä, the Participatory Foresight and Planning Experience. Journal of Futures Studies, 28(4), pp.31-50.
ROSA, Angelo et al. (ed.). Navigating the Great Transition. 2024.
SALEN, Katie; ZIMMERMAN, Eric. Rules of Play: Game Design Fundamentals. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2004.
SARITAS, Ozcan; SMITH, Jack. The Big Picture: trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures, v. 43, n. 3, p. 292-312, 2011.
SCHELL, Jesse. The Art of Game Design: A Book of Lenses. Boca Raton: CRC Press, 2008.
SOARES, Magda. Letramento: um tema em três gêneros. 2. ed. Belo Horizonte: Autêntica, 2003.
STREET, Brian V. Literacy in Theory and Practice. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1984.
Bontoux, L., Bengtsson, D., Rosa, A., & Sweeney, J. A. The JRC scenario exploration system-from study to serious game. Journal of Futures Studies, 20(3), 93-108, 2016.
SWEENEY, John A. Game on: foresight at play with the United Nations. Journal of Futures Studies, v. 22, n. 2, p. 27-40, 2017.
UNESCO. Futures literacy laboratory playbook: an essentials guide for designing and running a Futures Literacy Laboratory. Paris: UNESCO, 2023. Disponível em: [link]. Acesso em 30 de Junho, 2026.
VERVOORT, Joost et al. Unlocking the potential of gaming for anticipatory governance. Earth System Governance, v. 11, 100130, 2021.
WALK, Wolfgang; GÖRLICH, Daniel; BARRETT, Mark. Design, dynamics, experience (DDE): an advancement of the MDA framework for game design. In: BLATZ, M. et al. (ed.). Game Dynamics. Cham: Springer, 2017. p. 27-45.
Publicado
29/09/2026
Como Citar
MARTINS, Daniel de Sant’Anna; XEXÉO, Geraldo Bonorino.
Foresight Games: Conceituação, Elementos Estruturantes e Framework de Design para Jogos Prospectivos. In: SIMPÓSIO BRASILEIRO DE JOGOS E ENTRETENIMENTO DIGITAL (SBGAMES), 25. , 2026, Goiânia/GO.
Anais [...].
Porto Alegre: Sociedade Brasileira de Computação,
2026
.
p. 1667-1677.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/sbgames.2026.25241.
