Artificial Intelligence for Virality Analysis on Short-Form Video Platforms: A Taxonomy, Challenges, and Research Agenda
Resumo
A popularização de plataformas de vídeos curtos, como TikTok, Instagram Reels e YouTube Shorts, impulsionou o uso de técnicas de Inteligência Artificial para analisar a viralização de conteúdos digitais. Porém, a variedade de abordagens, métricas e definições de viralização ainda dificulta a consolidação do conhecimento na área. Este trabalho apresenta uma revisão exploratória estruturada sobre análise de viralização em plataformas de vídeos curtos e redes sociais correlatas. Os estudos são organizados em uma taxonomia com abordagens textuais, visuais e multimodais, o que permite identificar tendências, limitações e lacunas de pesquisa. A partir dessa análise, discutem-se desafios na definição de viralização, no desbalanceamento de classes e na modelagem multimodal, além de se proporem direções futuras para o avanço da área.Referências
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He, Z. and Li, D. (2024). The short video popularity prediction using internet of things and deep learning. IEEE Access, 12:47508–47517.
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Jeong, D., Son, H., Choi, Y., and Kim, K. (2024). Enhancing social media post popularity prediction with visual content. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 53:844–882.
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Li, D., Li, W., Lu, B., Li, H., Ma, S., Krishnan, G., and Wang, J. (2024). Delving deep into engagement prediction of short videos. In European Conference on Computer Vision, pages 289–306. Springer.
Li, D., Ma, S., Hua, H., Li, W., Wang, J., Zhou, C. W., Guan, F., Li, X., Yu, Z., Lu, Y., et al. (2025). VQualA 2025 challenge on engagement prediction for short videos: Methods and results. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision, pages 3391–3401.
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Ling, C., Blackburn, J., De Cristofaro, E., and Stringhini, G. (2022). Slapping cats, bopping heads, and oreo shakes: Understanding indicators of virality in tiktok short videos. In Proceedings of the 14th ACM Web Science Conference 2022, pages 164–173.
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Nisa, M. U., Mahmood, D., Ahmed, G., Khan, S., Mohammed, M. A., and Damaševičius, R. (2021). Optimizing prediction of YouTube video popularity using XGBoost. Electronics, 10:2962.
Rameez, R., Rahmani, H. A., and Yilmaz, E. (2022). ViralBERT: A user focused BERTbased approach to virality prediction. In Adjunct Proceedings of the 30th ACM Conference on User Modeling, Adaptation and Personalization, pages 85–89. ACM.
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Roring, R. S. (2024). Decoding social media virality: Measuring impact, influence, and engagement in the digital age. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Saheb, T., Sidaoui, M., and Schmarzo, B. (2024). Convergence of artificial intelligence with social media: A bibliometric & qualitative analysis. Telematics and Informatics Reports, 14:100146.
Sangiorgio, E., Di Marco, N., Etta, G., Cinelli, M., Cerqueti, R., and Quattrociocchi, W. (2025). Evaluating the effect of viral posts on social media engagement. Scientific Reports, 15(1):639.
Sun, W., Cao, L., Cao, Y., Zhang, W., Wen, W., Zhang, K., Chen, Z., Lu, F., Min, X., and Zhai, G. (2025). Engagement prediction of short videos with large multimodal models. In 2025 IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision Workshops (ICCVW), pages 3443–3452. IEEE.
Trunfio, M. and Rossi, S. (2021). Conceptualising and measuring social media engagement: A systematic literature review. Italian Journal of Marketing, 2021:267–292.
Vallet, D., Berkovsky, S., Ardon, S., Mahanti, A., and Kafaar, M. A. (2015). Characterizing and predicting viral-and-popular video content. In Proceedings of the 24th ACM International on Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, pages 1591–1600.
Vasanthi, P. and Viswanatham, V. M. (2024). Sentiment analysis of multi social media using machine and deep learning models: a review. Multimedia Tools and Applications, 83:90033–90051.
Xu, X., Zhang, Y., Zhou, F., and Song, J. (2025). Improving multimodal social media popularity prediction via selective retrieval knowledge augmentation. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 39:932–940.
Xu, Z. and Qian, M. (2023). Predicting popularity of viral content in social media through a temporal-spatial cascade convolutional learning framework. Mathematics, 11:3059.
Blommaert, J. and Varis, P. (2015). Conviviality and collectives on social media: Virality, memes, and new social structures. Multilingual Margins: A journal of multilingualism from the periphery, 2(1):31–31.
Cheng, Z. and Li, Y. (2024). Like, comment, and share on TikTok: Exploring the effect of sentiment and second-person view on the user engagement with TikTok news videos. Social Science Computer Review, 42:201–223.
Denisova, A. (2023). Viral journalism. strategy, tactics and limitations of the fast spread of content on social media: Case study of the united kingdom quality publications. Journalism, 24:1919–1937.
Devlin, J., Chang, M.-W., Lee, K., and Toutanova, K. (2019). BERT: Pre-training of deep bidirectional transformers for language understanding. In Proceedings of the 2019 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 4171–4186. Association for Computational Linguistics.
Elmas, T., Stephane, S., and Houssiaux, C. (2023). Measuring and detecting virality on social media: The case of Twitter’s viral tweets topic. In Companion Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2023, pages 314–317. ACM.
Göring, S. and Raake, A. (2023). Image appeal revisited: Analysis, new dataset, and prediction models. IEEE Access, 11:69563–69585.
Halim, Z., Hussain, S., and Ali, R. H. (2022). Identifying content unaware features influencing popularity of videos on YouTube: A study based on seven regions. Expert Systems with Applications, 206:117836.
He, Z. and Li, D. (2024). The short video popularity prediction using internet of things and deep learning. IEEE Access, 12:47508–47517.
Jenders, M., Kasneci, G., and Naumann, F. (2013). Analyzing and predicting viral tweets. In Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on World Wide Web, pages 657–664. ACM.
Jeong, D., Son, H., Choi, Y., and Kim, K. (2024). Enhancing social media post popularity prediction with visual content. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 53:844–882.
Jo, W., Kim, H., and Choi, J. (2025). A picture’s worth a thousand shares: An empirical analysis of logo sizes in social media posts and their impact on content virality. Marketing Letters, 36:243–257.
Lemel, R. (2021). Determining which metrics matter in social media marketing. Journal of Business & Retail Management Research, 15.
Li, D., Li, W., Lu, B., Li, H., Ma, S., Krishnan, G., and Wang, J. (2024). Delving deep into engagement prediction of short videos. In European Conference on Computer Vision, pages 289–306. Springer.
Li, D., Ma, S., Hua, H., Li, W., Wang, J., Zhou, C. W., Guan, F., Li, X., Yu, Z., Lu, Y., et al. (2025). VQualA 2025 challenge on engagement prediction for short videos: Methods and results. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision, pages 3391–3401.
Ling, C., AbuHilal, I., Blackburn, J., De Cristofaro, E., Zannettou, S., and Stringhini, G. (2021). Dissecting the meme magic: Understanding indicators of virality in image memes. Proceedings of the ACM on human-computer interaction, 5(CSCW1):1–24.
Ling, C., Blackburn, J., De Cristofaro, E., and Stringhini, G. (2022). Slapping cats, bopping heads, and oreo shakes: Understanding indicators of virality in tiktok short videos. In Proceedings of the 14th ACM Web Science Conference 2022, pages 164–173.
Maldonado-Sifuentes, C. E., Angel, J., Sidorov, G., Kolesnikova, O., and Gelbukh, A. (2021a). Virality Prediction for News Tweets Using RoBERTa, pages 81–95. Springer International Publishing.
Maldonado-Sifuentes, C. E., Sidorov, G., and Kolesnikova, O. (2021b). Improved twitter virality prediction using text and rnn-lstm. International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics, 12(3):50–62.
Mears, A. and Beauvais, T. (2025). Learning to like the likes and the hate: The labor of internet fame in the new attention economy. Social Problems, page spaf028.
Mo, C., Yin, J., Fung, I. C.-H., and Tse, Z. T. H. (2021). Aggregating Twitter text through generalized linear regression models for tweet popularity prediction and automatic topic classification. European Journal of Investigation in Health, Psychology and Education, 11:1537–1554.
Nisa, M. U., Mahmood, D., Ahmed, G., Khan, S., Mohammed, M. A., and Damaševičius, R. (2021). Optimizing prediction of YouTube video popularity using XGBoost. Electronics, 10:2962.
Rameez, R., Rahmani, H. A., and Yilmaz, E. (2022). ViralBERT: A user focused BERTbased approach to virality prediction. In Adjunct Proceedings of the 30th ACM Conference on User Modeling, Adaptation and Personalization, pages 85–89. ACM.
Rathje, S. and Van Bavel, J. J. (2025). The psychology of virality. Trends in Cognitive Sciences.
Roring, R. S. (2024). Decoding social media virality: Measuring impact, influence, and engagement in the digital age. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Saheb, T., Sidaoui, M., and Schmarzo, B. (2024). Convergence of artificial intelligence with social media: A bibliometric & qualitative analysis. Telematics and Informatics Reports, 14:100146.
Sangiorgio, E., Di Marco, N., Etta, G., Cinelli, M., Cerqueti, R., and Quattrociocchi, W. (2025). Evaluating the effect of viral posts on social media engagement. Scientific Reports, 15(1):639.
Sun, W., Cao, L., Cao, Y., Zhang, W., Wen, W., Zhang, K., Chen, Z., Lu, F., Min, X., and Zhai, G. (2025). Engagement prediction of short videos with large multimodal models. In 2025 IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision Workshops (ICCVW), pages 3443–3452. IEEE.
Trunfio, M. and Rossi, S. (2021). Conceptualising and measuring social media engagement: A systematic literature review. Italian Journal of Marketing, 2021:267–292.
Vallet, D., Berkovsky, S., Ardon, S., Mahanti, A., and Kafaar, M. A. (2015). Characterizing and predicting viral-and-popular video content. In Proceedings of the 24th ACM International on Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, pages 1591–1600.
Vasanthi, P. and Viswanatham, V. M. (2024). Sentiment analysis of multi social media using machine and deep learning models: a review. Multimedia Tools and Applications, 83:90033–90051.
Xu, X., Zhang, Y., Zhou, F., and Song, J. (2025). Improving multimodal social media popularity prediction via selective retrieval knowledge augmentation. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 39:932–940.
Xu, Z. and Qian, M. (2023). Predicting popularity of viral content in social media through a temporal-spatial cascade convolutional learning framework. Mathematics, 11:3059.
Publicado
19/10/2026
Como Citar
SILVA, Sthefany do Socorro Souza da; MELO, Tiago de; FIGUEIREDO, Carlos M. S.; TORNÉ, Israel Gondres.
Artificial Intelligence for Virality Analysis on Short-Form Video Platforms: A Taxonomy, Challenges, and Research Agenda. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE INTELIGÊNCIA ARTIFICIAL E COMPUTACIONAL (ENIAC), 23. , 2026, Cuiabá/MT.
Anais [...].
Porto Alegre: Sociedade Brasileira de Computação,
2026
.
p. 361-372.
ISSN 2763-9061.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/eniac.2026.29963.
