Reducing the Influence of Confouders on Predictive Models

  • Ricardo Alves Brito PUC-MG

Resumo


The analysis of Big Data has become so important with the progressive increase of the information stored in digital media. Extracting more value from diversified and unstructured data is really challenging. With the help of predictive models, it is possible to find new patterns and trends that could be innovation bases. Predictive models need to have a relevant reliability rate to aid us in decision-making processes. In this context, this article discusses the influence of confounding variables on predictive models and proposes techniques for identifying and minimizing their effect. Through a database with information collected in a hospital, it was possible to construct a predictive model, to identify possible confounding variables, to apply a technique to minimize its influences and to evaluate the accuracy of the model through machine learning techniques. The result was an efficient prediction model.

Palavras-chave: Big Data, Predictive Model, Confounders, Multicollinearity, Machine Learning.

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Publicado
08/08/2018
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BRITO, Ricardo Alves. Reducing the Influence of Confouders on Predictive Models. In: ESCOLA REGIONAL DE INFORMÁTICA DE GOIÁS (ERI-GO), 2018. , 2018, Goiânia. Anais [...]. Porto Alegre: Sociedade Brasileira de Computação, 2018 . p. 15-28.