Multidimensional Analysis of the Influence of Socioeconomic and Political Indicators on the Spread of COVID-19: A Case Study of Brazilian Cities (2020-2024)

• Rôney Reis Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
• Angelo Brayner Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
• Miguel Ângelo Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
• Ronaldo Menezes University of Exeter / Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/sbbd.2024.240824

Resumo

This paper explores the influence of socioeconomic indicators and political decisions on the spread of COVID-19 across Brazilian cities from 2020 to 2024. Leveraging data on COVID-19 cases, deaths, electoral outcomes from 2020 and 2022, and the Human Development Index (HDI) from 2010, we employ a multidimensional analytical framework encompassing temporal, spatial, and statistical dimensions to uncover the correlations among these variables. Time series models, such as ARIMA, were employed to detect trends over time, while spatial correlation analyses and machine learning techniques were applied to reveal geographical variations in virus spread. Our findings highlight significant regional disparities in COVID-19 proliferation, carrying crucial implications for the formulation of targeted public policies.

Palavras-chave: COVID-19, Data Analysis, Politics

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