SEIR-SEI Model for Dengue Transmission Dynamics in the State of Goiás

• Arthur R. S. Vitória UFG
• Adriel L. V. Mori UFG
• Clarimar J. Coelho PUC Goiás
• Arlindo R. G. Filho UFG

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/sbcas.2024.2756

Abstract

Dengue stands out as one of the most challenging and prevalent infectious diseases in tropical and subtropical regions. The number of cases has grown alarmingly in recent years, accompanied by a significant increase in mortality rates. Thus, this study uses a compartmental epidemiological model of the SEIR-SEI type. The study case for the state of Goiás for the years 2023 and 2024 resulted in a MAPE of 18.99% and 7.55%, respectively. This approach proved to be a promising approach for the dynamics of dengue transmission in the state of Goiás.

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