Impact Assessment Modeling of Low-Water Management Policy
Resumo
Apresentamos brevemente as principais etapas envolvidas na concepção e no desenvolvimento de uma plataforma para a simulação numérica dos impactos ambientais e sociais da implementação de novas normas ambientais relacionadas com a gestão de baixo nível de água em França (MAELIA Projeto: multi-agentes para avaliação de impacto das normas ambientais). Alguns resultados são destacados respeito sobretudo a estrutura do modelo de gestão de baixo nível de água e ao modelagem de processos e da atividade do agentes.
Referências
AGWA (2013) The water information system of the Adour Garonne basin (in French). Adour-Garonne Water Agency. [as of 26/03/2013] [link]
Cai X., Ringler C. and M. W. Rosengrant (2006) Modeling water resources management at the basin level. Intern. Food Policy Res. Institute, Research Rep. 149, Washington D.C., USA, 169 pp. DOI: 10.2499/0896291529RR149,
CLCF (2013) Corine Land Cover France. [as of 26/03/2012] [link]
Condamines A. and N. Dehaut (2011) Mise en oeuvre des méthodes de la linguistique de corpus pour étudier les termes en situation d’innovation disciplinaire : le cas de l’exobiologie. META, n° 56(2). pp. 266-283.
Dempster A. P. (1967) Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping. Ann. Math. Statist. Volume 38, Number 2 (1967), 325-339.
Döll P. and M. Hauschild (2002) Model-based scenarios of water use in two semi-arid Brazilian states. Regional Environmental Change 2, 150–162.
Etienne M., Du Toit D. and S. Pollard (2008) ARDI: a co-construction method for participatory modelling in natural resources management », in proceedings of IEMSS Congress, Barcelona (Espagne), Vol. 2, 866-873.
Fèvre-Pernet Ch. (2011) Identification de termes/concepts pour une application pluridisciplinaire : apports de la terminologie textuelle. In Briu, J.-J. Terminologie: analyser termes et concepts, Bern, P. Lang, ISBN 978-3-0343-0583-9 br, 191-221.
Gazzaniga J.-L., Larrouy-Castéra X., Marc Ph., et J.-P. Ourliac (2011) Le droit de l’eau. Litec, 3° ed., ISBN 978-2-7110-1109-4, 547 pp.
George B., Malano H., Davidson B., Hellegers P., Bharati L. and S. Massuel (2011) An integrated hydro-economic modelling framework to evaluate water allocation strategies II: scenario assessment. Agricultural Water Management 98, 747–758.
IGN (2013) BD CARTHAGE®. [link] ; BD TOPO®: [link] Nat. Geographic Institute, France [26/03/2013]
INSEE (2011) Projections départementales et régionales de population à l'horizon 2040. [26/03/2013] on [link]
LPIS (2010) French Land Parcel Information System [26/03/2013]: [link]
March H., Thérond O. and D. Lennhardt (2012) Water futures: reviewing water-scenario analyses through an original interpretative framework. Ecological Economics, 82, 126-137.
Mazzega P., Bourcier D., Bourgine P., Nadah N. and R. Boulet (2011) A complex-system approach: legal knowledge, ontology, information and networks. In Approaches to Legal Ontologies: Theories, Domains, Methodologies, G. Sartor, P. Casanovas, M. A. Biasiotti & M. Fernández Barrera eds., Springer, 117-132.
Nayak P. editor (2012) Water Resources Management and Modeling, InTech Publ., ISBN 978-953-51-0246-5, 310 pp., DOI: 10.5772/2067,
Nguyen V. B., Panzoli D., Laques A. E., Thérond O. and P. Mazzega (2012) Integration of land cover & land use multi-scale information layers in a model of low-water management. Proc. Int. Conf. SELPER, 19-23 Nov., Cayenne, France, 8 pp.
Ostrom E. (2009) A general framework for analyzing sustainability of social-ecological systems. Science, 325:419–422, 2009.
Pagé C. et L. Terray (2010) Nouvelles projections climatiques à échelle fine sur la France pour le 21ème siècle : les scénarii SCRATCH2010. Technical Report TR/CMGC/10/58, SUC à URA CERFACS/CNRS No1875CS, Toulouse, France.
Pahl-Wostl C. and I. Borowski – eds. (2007) Methods for Participatory Water Resources Management. Water Resources Management, 21(7), Special Section, 1047-1261.
Schaefer G. (1976) A Mathematical Theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press, Princeton (USA), ISBN-10: 069110042X, 314 pp.
Sibertin-Blanc Ch., Therond O., Monteil C. and P. Mazzega (2011) Formal modeling of social-ecological systems. Proc. of the 7th European Social Simulation Association Conference, 19-23 september, Cemagref, Montpellier.
Taillandier P., Thérond O. and B. Gaudou (2012a) A new BDI agent architecture based on the belief theory. Application to the modeling of cropping plan decision-making. iEMSs - Int. Cong. Env. Modelling & Software Managing Res. of a Limited Planet, 6th Bien. Meeting, Leipzig, Germany. R. Seppelt, A. A. Voinov, S. Lange, D. Bankamp (Eds.) [link]
Taillandier P., Vo D. A., Amouroux E., and A. Drogoul (2012b) GAMA: a simulation platform that integrates geographical information data, agent-based modeling and multi-scale control. In Proc. of PRIMA’10, vol. 7057 LNCS, Springer, 242–258.
Thérond O., Sibertin-Blanc Ch., Amblard F., Balestrat M., Gaudou B., Yi Hong, Louail Th., Mayor E., Nguyen V. B., Panzoli D., Sanchez-Perez J.-M., Sauvage S., Taillandier P., Vavasseur M. and P. Mazzega (2013) An integrated modelling of interactions between human decision-making and hydrological processes: the MAELIA multi-agent platform. Int. SWAT Conf. & Workshops - Toulouse, France, July 15-19, submitted.
Thérond O., Paillard D., Bergez J. E., Willaume M., Ouin A., Leenhardt D., Grieu P. and C. Auricoste (2010) From farm, landscape and territory analysis to scenario exercise: an educational programme on participatory integrated analysis. Proc. of the IFSA symposium, 4-7 july, Vienna, Austria, 2206-2216.
Cai X., Ringler C. and M. W. Rosengrant (2006) Modeling water resources management at the basin level. Intern. Food Policy Res. Institute, Research Rep. 149, Washington D.C., USA, 169 pp. DOI: 10.2499/0896291529RR149,
CLCF (2013) Corine Land Cover France. [as of 26/03/2012] [link]
Condamines A. and N. Dehaut (2011) Mise en oeuvre des méthodes de la linguistique de corpus pour étudier les termes en situation d’innovation disciplinaire : le cas de l’exobiologie. META, n° 56(2). pp. 266-283.
Dempster A. P. (1967) Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping. Ann. Math. Statist. Volume 38, Number 2 (1967), 325-339.
Döll P. and M. Hauschild (2002) Model-based scenarios of water use in two semi-arid Brazilian states. Regional Environmental Change 2, 150–162.
Etienne M., Du Toit D. and S. Pollard (2008) ARDI: a co-construction method for participatory modelling in natural resources management », in proceedings of IEMSS Congress, Barcelona (Espagne), Vol. 2, 866-873.
Fèvre-Pernet Ch. (2011) Identification de termes/concepts pour une application pluridisciplinaire : apports de la terminologie textuelle. In Briu, J.-J. Terminologie: analyser termes et concepts, Bern, P. Lang, ISBN 978-3-0343-0583-9 br, 191-221.
Gazzaniga J.-L., Larrouy-Castéra X., Marc Ph., et J.-P. Ourliac (2011) Le droit de l’eau. Litec, 3° ed., ISBN 978-2-7110-1109-4, 547 pp.
George B., Malano H., Davidson B., Hellegers P., Bharati L. and S. Massuel (2011) An integrated hydro-economic modelling framework to evaluate water allocation strategies II: scenario assessment. Agricultural Water Management 98, 747–758.
IGN (2013) BD CARTHAGE®. [link] ; BD TOPO®: [link] Nat. Geographic Institute, France [26/03/2013]
INSEE (2011) Projections départementales et régionales de population à l'horizon 2040. [26/03/2013] on [link]
LPIS (2010) French Land Parcel Information System [26/03/2013]: [link]
March H., Thérond O. and D. Lennhardt (2012) Water futures: reviewing water-scenario analyses through an original interpretative framework. Ecological Economics, 82, 126-137.
Mazzega P., Bourcier D., Bourgine P., Nadah N. and R. Boulet (2011) A complex-system approach: legal knowledge, ontology, information and networks. In Approaches to Legal Ontologies: Theories, Domains, Methodologies, G. Sartor, P. Casanovas, M. A. Biasiotti & M. Fernández Barrera eds., Springer, 117-132.
Nayak P. editor (2012) Water Resources Management and Modeling, InTech Publ., ISBN 978-953-51-0246-5, 310 pp., DOI: 10.5772/2067,
Nguyen V. B., Panzoli D., Laques A. E., Thérond O. and P. Mazzega (2012) Integration of land cover & land use multi-scale information layers in a model of low-water management. Proc. Int. Conf. SELPER, 19-23 Nov., Cayenne, France, 8 pp.
Ostrom E. (2009) A general framework for analyzing sustainability of social-ecological systems. Science, 325:419–422, 2009.
Pagé C. et L. Terray (2010) Nouvelles projections climatiques à échelle fine sur la France pour le 21ème siècle : les scénarii SCRATCH2010. Technical Report TR/CMGC/10/58, SUC à URA CERFACS/CNRS No1875CS, Toulouse, France.
Pahl-Wostl C. and I. Borowski – eds. (2007) Methods for Participatory Water Resources Management. Water Resources Management, 21(7), Special Section, 1047-1261.
Schaefer G. (1976) A Mathematical Theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press, Princeton (USA), ISBN-10: 069110042X, 314 pp.
Sibertin-Blanc Ch., Therond O., Monteil C. and P. Mazzega (2011) Formal modeling of social-ecological systems. Proc. of the 7th European Social Simulation Association Conference, 19-23 september, Cemagref, Montpellier.
Taillandier P., Thérond O. and B. Gaudou (2012a) A new BDI agent architecture based on the belief theory. Application to the modeling of cropping plan decision-making. iEMSs - Int. Cong. Env. Modelling & Software Managing Res. of a Limited Planet, 6th Bien. Meeting, Leipzig, Germany. R. Seppelt, A. A. Voinov, S. Lange, D. Bankamp (Eds.) [link]
Taillandier P., Vo D. A., Amouroux E., and A. Drogoul (2012b) GAMA: a simulation platform that integrates geographical information data, agent-based modeling and multi-scale control. In Proc. of PRIMA’10, vol. 7057 LNCS, Springer, 242–258.
Thérond O., Sibertin-Blanc Ch., Amblard F., Balestrat M., Gaudou B., Yi Hong, Louail Th., Mayor E., Nguyen V. B., Panzoli D., Sanchez-Perez J.-M., Sauvage S., Taillandier P., Vavasseur M. and P. Mazzega (2013) An integrated modelling of interactions between human decision-making and hydrological processes: the MAELIA multi-agent platform. Int. SWAT Conf. & Workshops - Toulouse, France, July 15-19, submitted.
Thérond O., Paillard D., Bergez J. E., Willaume M., Ouin A., Leenhardt D., Grieu P. and C. Auricoste (2010) From farm, landscape and territory analysis to scenario exercise: an educational programme on participatory integrated analysis. Proc. of the IFSA symposium, 4-7 july, Vienna, Austria, 2206-2216.
Publicado
23/07/2013
Como Citar
MAZZEGA, P. et al.
Impact Assessment Modeling of Low-Water Management Policy. In: WORKSHOP DE COMPUTAÇÃO APLICADA À GESTÃO DO MEIO AMBIENTE E RECURSOS NATURAIS (WCAMA), 4. , 2013, Maceió/AL.
Anais [...].
Porto Alegre: Sociedade Brasileira de Computação,
2013
.
p. 1014-1024.
ISSN 2595-6124.
