Autômatos celulares aplicados à modelagem de dinâmica populacional em situação de risco
Resumo
A segurança em ambientes caracterizados pela intensa circulação de pessoas com tendência de formação de multidão ou conflitos, carecem de atenção especial. Caso uma multidão falhe ao escapar em tempo de um local de risco, pela escolha de um caminho errado ou envolvimento em conflitos, há sempre a iminência de lesões e até mesmo de morte. Simulações geradas por computador são importantes para a determinação da confiabilidade e segurança de um projeto de edificação ou até mesmo de urbanização. A aplicação de autômatos celulares na simulação computacional é justificada pelo paralelismo inerente dos mesmos e por isso tem sido bastante investigada. O principal objetivo da pesquisa foi a proposição de um modelo de simulação de dinâmica populacional para evacuação emergencial de ambientes com geometria complexa baseado na teoria de autômatos celulares adaptado de modelos precursores.
Referências
Alizadeh, R. (2011). A dynamic cellular automaton model for evacuation process with obstacles. Safety Science, 49(2):315–323.
Burstedde, C., Klauck, K., Schadschneider, A., and Zittartz, J. (2001). Simulation of pedestrian dynamics using a two-dimensional cellular automaton., pages 507 – 525.
Carneiro, L. O. (2012). Simulação de evacuação de multidão por autômato celular - estudo de caso em um estádio de futebol. Master’s thesis, Universidade Federal do Ceará.
Conway, J. H. (1970). Jogo da vida. Scientific American. Jogos matematicos.
Hu, J.-h., Zhan, C.-z., Cheng, Z.-f., and Cheng, B. (2013). A research of pedestrian evacuation simulation for brt station based on fine grid method. Procedia Engineering, 52:137–144.
Huang, H., Zhang, L., Guan, Y., and Wang, D. (2008). A cellular automata model for population expansion of spartina alterniflora at jiuduansha shoals, shanghai, china. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 77(1):47 – 55.
Li, X., Yan, X., Li, X., and Wang, J. (2012). Using cellular automata to investigate pedestrian conflicts with vehicles in crosswalk at signalized intersection. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2012.
Oliveira, G. M. B. (2003). Autômatos celulares: aspectos dinâmicos e computacionais. III Jornada de Mini-cursos em Inteligência Artificial (MCIA). Sociedade Brasileira de Computação, 8:297 – 303.
Pereira, L., Duczmal, L., and Cruz, F. (2011). Simulacao de evacuacao emergencial via automatos celulares: Uma proposta de modificacao do modelo de schadschneider. Anais do CMAC, pages 21 – 30.
Perez, G., Tapang, G., Lim, M., and Saloma, C. (2002). Streaming, disruptive interference and power-law behavior in the exit dynamics of confined pedestrians., pages 609 – 618.
Powathil, G. G., Gordon, K. E., Hill, L. A., and Chaplain, M. A. J. (2012). Modelling the effects of cell-cycle heterogeneity on the response of a solid tumour to chemotherapy: Biological insights from a hybrid multiscale cellular automaton model. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 308(0):1 – 19.
Puliafito, J. L. (2007). A transport model for the evolution of urban systems. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 31(11):2391 – 2411.
Sarkar, C. and Abbasi, S. A. (2006). Enhancing the accuracy of forecasting impact of accidents in chemical process industry by the application of cellular automata technique. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 84(5):355 – 370.
Schadschneider, A. (2001). Bionics-inspired cellular automaton model for pedestrians dynamics trafic and granular flow. pages 110 – 114.
Tanimoto, J., Hagishima, A., and Tanaka, Y. (2010). Study of bottleneck effect at an emergency evacuation exit using cellular automata model, mean field approximation analysis, and game theory. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 389(24):5611–5618.
Varas, A., Cornejo, M., Mainemer, D., Toledo, B., Rogan, J., Munoz, V., and Valdivia, J. (2007). Cellular automaton model for evacuation process with obstacles. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 382(2):631 – 642.
Wolfram, S. (2002). A New Kind of Science. Wolfram Media (1st edition): 1197 - 2006-09-19T07:35:05.000+0200.
Yang, L., Fang, W., and Fan, W. (2003). Modeling occupant evacuation using cellular automata - effect of human behavior and building characteristics on evacuation. Journal of Fire Sciences.
Yang, Z., Fang, W., Huang, R., Huang, R., and Deng, Z. (2002). Occupant evacuation model based on cellular automata in fire., pages 1484 – 1488.
Yang, Z., Zhao, L., Li, J., and Fang, Y. (2005). Simulation of the kin behavior in building occupant evacuation based on cellular automaton., pages 411 – 415.
Zhao, D., Yang, L., and Li, J. (2008). Occupants behavior of going with the crowd based on cellular automata occupant evacuation model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 387(14):3708–3718.
Zheng, X. and Cheng, Y. (2011). Conflict game in evacuation process: A study combining cellular automata model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 390(6):1042–1050.
Zheng, X., Zhong, T., and Liu, M. (2009). Modeling crowd evacuation of a building based on seven methodological approaches., pages 437 – 445.
Burstedde, C., Klauck, K., Schadschneider, A., and Zittartz, J. (2001). Simulation of pedestrian dynamics using a two-dimensional cellular automaton., pages 507 – 525.
Carneiro, L. O. (2012). Simulação de evacuação de multidão por autômato celular - estudo de caso em um estádio de futebol. Master’s thesis, Universidade Federal do Ceará.
Conway, J. H. (1970). Jogo da vida. Scientific American. Jogos matematicos.
Hu, J.-h., Zhan, C.-z., Cheng, Z.-f., and Cheng, B. (2013). A research of pedestrian evacuation simulation for brt station based on fine grid method. Procedia Engineering, 52:137–144.
Huang, H., Zhang, L., Guan, Y., and Wang, D. (2008). A cellular automata model for population expansion of spartina alterniflora at jiuduansha shoals, shanghai, china. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 77(1):47 – 55.
Li, X., Yan, X., Li, X., and Wang, J. (2012). Using cellular automata to investigate pedestrian conflicts with vehicles in crosswalk at signalized intersection. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2012.
Oliveira, G. M. B. (2003). Autômatos celulares: aspectos dinâmicos e computacionais. III Jornada de Mini-cursos em Inteligência Artificial (MCIA). Sociedade Brasileira de Computação, 8:297 – 303.
Pereira, L., Duczmal, L., and Cruz, F. (2011). Simulacao de evacuacao emergencial via automatos celulares: Uma proposta de modificacao do modelo de schadschneider. Anais do CMAC, pages 21 – 30.
Perez, G., Tapang, G., Lim, M., and Saloma, C. (2002). Streaming, disruptive interference and power-law behavior in the exit dynamics of confined pedestrians., pages 609 – 618.
Powathil, G. G., Gordon, K. E., Hill, L. A., and Chaplain, M. A. J. (2012). Modelling the effects of cell-cycle heterogeneity on the response of a solid tumour to chemotherapy: Biological insights from a hybrid multiscale cellular automaton model. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 308(0):1 – 19.
Puliafito, J. L. (2007). A transport model for the evolution of urban systems. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 31(11):2391 – 2411.
Sarkar, C. and Abbasi, S. A. (2006). Enhancing the accuracy of forecasting impact of accidents in chemical process industry by the application of cellular automata technique. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 84(5):355 – 370.
Schadschneider, A. (2001). Bionics-inspired cellular automaton model for pedestrians dynamics trafic and granular flow. pages 110 – 114.
Tanimoto, J., Hagishima, A., and Tanaka, Y. (2010). Study of bottleneck effect at an emergency evacuation exit using cellular automata model, mean field approximation analysis, and game theory. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 389(24):5611–5618.
Varas, A., Cornejo, M., Mainemer, D., Toledo, B., Rogan, J., Munoz, V., and Valdivia, J. (2007). Cellular automaton model for evacuation process with obstacles. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 382(2):631 – 642.
Wolfram, S. (2002). A New Kind of Science. Wolfram Media (1st edition): 1197 - 2006-09-19T07:35:05.000+0200.
Yang, L., Fang, W., and Fan, W. (2003). Modeling occupant evacuation using cellular automata - effect of human behavior and building characteristics on evacuation. Journal of Fire Sciences.
Yang, Z., Fang, W., Huang, R., Huang, R., and Deng, Z. (2002). Occupant evacuation model based on cellular automata in fire., pages 1484 – 1488.
Yang, Z., Zhao, L., Li, J., and Fang, Y. (2005). Simulation of the kin behavior in building occupant evacuation based on cellular automaton., pages 411 – 415.
Zhao, D., Yang, L., and Li, J. (2008). Occupants behavior of going with the crowd based on cellular automata occupant evacuation model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 387(14):3708–3718.
Zheng, X. and Cheng, Y. (2011). Conflict game in evacuation process: A study combining cellular automata model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 390(6):1042–1050.
Zheng, X., Zhong, T., and Liu, M. (2009). Modeling crowd evacuation of a building based on seven methodological approaches., pages 437 – 445.
Publicado
23/07/2013
Como Citar
CASTRO, André P. de; LIMA, Danielli A..
Autômatos celulares aplicados à modelagem de dinâmica populacional em situação de risco. In: WORKSHOP DE COMPUTAÇÃO APLICADA À GESTÃO DO MEIO AMBIENTE E RECURSOS NATURAIS (WCAMA), 4. , 2013, Maceió/AL.
Anais [...].
Porto Alegre: Sociedade Brasileira de Computação,
2013
.
p. 1091-1102.
ISSN 2595-6124.
